CDNs (Content Delivery Networks) are achieving another year of double-digit growth in 2009, writing new contracts at a 23.3% pace above 2008, powering top line revenue forecasts up 16.4% to $1.37 billion across the segment.
The U.S. market currently generates an estimated 55.8% of the global CDN total, though international traffic is now increasing at a faster rate than its domestic counterpart.
TABLE OF CONTENTS:
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY | 1 | ||
CDN 2010: Revenue, R & D, Cap Ex and Operational Performance Analytic | 1 | ||
SECTION ONE | 1 | ||
Introduction and 2009-2010 Overview | 3 | ||
CDN 2010: Revenue, Cap Ex, R & D, Operational Performance Summary Analysis | 3 | ||
Terminology Definitions: | 3 | ||
CDN Market Performance Dynamics and Trends 2009 – 2010 | 3 | ||
CDN Revenues Forecast at $1.37 Billion in ‘09 | 6 | ||
CDN Market Revenue Analysis: 2003 - 2010 | 7 | ||
CDN Revenue Growth Rates Historically Accelerate Through the Year | 7 | ||
Retail Contracts Forecast to Increase by 23.3% in 2009 | 8 | ||
CDN Annual Accounts: 2005 - 2009 | 9 | ||
CDN Account Growth Rates Surpass Revenue Growth Rates in 2009 | 10 | ||
CDN Revenue and Account Growth Rates | 10 | ||
MRR is Forecast to Fall by 5.5% in 2009 | 10 | ||
CDN Monthly Recurring Revenue Analysis: 2005 - 2009 | 11 | ||
Entertainment and Media Forecast to Account for 32% of CDN Revenue in 2009, Down from 46.7% in 2008 | 12 | ||
Media and Entertainment Percent CDN Revenue: 2006 - 2009 | 13 | ||
Sever Deployments to Increase by 32.3% in 2009 | 13 | ||
CDN Media Server Deployment: 2005 - 2009 | 14 | ||
Cap Ex Investment Forecast to Rise by 9.2% in 2009 | 14 | ||
U.S. Captures 55.8% of Global CDN Revenue in 2009; to Decline Slightly in 2010 | 15 | ||
Worldwide CDN Revenue Forecast at $2.4 Billion in 2009 | 16 | ||
CDN Worldwide and U.S. Market Size: 2006 - 2009 | 16 | ||
Global CDN Market Value (Retail Contract Revenue) | 17 | ||
Commercial Market Value for Audio and Delivery Estimated at $501.7 Million in 2009 | 17 | ||
Commercial Bandwidth Market Value: Audio/Video 2006 - 2009 | 18 | ||
Cogs and Retail Contract Analysis Indicate Margins Are Holding, Despite Sharp Price Declines | 18 | ||
Entertainment and Media Are the Most Penetrated and Cost-Competitive Account Verticals | 19 | ||
Streaming/Http Content Category Share: Commercial Market Value 2006 – 2009 | 20 | ||
Retail Contract Pricing for Bandwidth Exhibited a Slower Rate of Decline in 2008, Then Turned Sharply Downward in 2009 | 20 | ||
Retail Contract Pricing: 2006 - 2009 | 21 | ||
Pricing Declines for Retail Contracts Have Exceeded Transit Declines in 2009 | 23 | ||
Media Player Market Share: 2005 - 2009 | 24 | ||
Media Player Format Share: CDN Delivery 2005 - 2009 | 24 | ||
SECTION TWO | 26 | ||
CDN Entertainment and Media Market Performance Analytics 2009 | 26 | ||
Commercial Market Value of Media and Entertainment Estimated at $501.7 Million in 2009 | 26 | ||
CDN Bandwidth Services Category Share: 2009 Year End Estimate | 27 | ||
Professional Video Content Categories Including Advertising Networks and Download Media Are Highly Penetrated by CDNs | 28 | ||
2009 Full Year Estimates | 30 | ||
Online Music Tuning Hours per Month Average 661.9 Million in 2009 | 30 | ||
Online Music and Track Plays: Bandwidth Services Analysis and Market Size | 31 | ||
Professional Video Averaging 4.1 Billion Views per Month in 2009, 500+ Kbps Through Put | 32 | ||
Online Video: Entertainment Bandwidth Services Analysis and Market Size | 33 | ||
User Generated Video Pricing and Market Analysis: 95th Percentile Estimates | 35 | ||
There is an Average of 1.99 Billion Pre Roll Ads Played/ Inserted per Month in 2009 | 36 | ||
Video Advertising: Pre Roll Avail Bandwidth Services Analysis and Market Size | 37 | ||
In-Banner Video Impressions Averaging 13.4 Billion Views per Month in 2009 | 37 | ||
In-Banner Video Advertising: Bandwidth Services Analysis and Market Size | 38 | ||
Music Downloads Forecast at 3+ Billion Units in 2009; Movie and TV Show Downloads at 182.3 Million | 38 | ||
Download Bandwidth Services Analysis and Market Size | 39 | ||
Podcast Downloads (Audio and Video) Are Forecast at 9.6 Billion in 2009 | 39 | ||
Podcasting Bandwidth Services Analysis and Market Size | 40 | ||
Backhaul Bandwidth Services Segment Analysis: 2009 | 41 | ||
Streaming Video: Backhaul Bandwidth Services Market Value (95th Percentile Analysis) | 42 | ||
User Generated Video Backhaul Pricing and Market Analysis (95th Percentile Analysis) | 43 | ||
Streaming Video Advertising: Pre Roll Backhaul Bandwidth Services Market Size (95th Percentile Analysis) | 44 | ||
In-Banner Video Advertising: Backhaul Bandwidth Services Market Size (95th Percentile Analysis) | 45 | ||
Download Backhaul Bandwidth Services Market Size (95th Percentile Analysis) | 46 | ||
Commercial Market Value of Media and Entertainment Estimated at $663.4 Million in 2008 | 48 | ||
CDN Bandwidth Services Category Share: 2008 Year End Estimate | 49 | ||
Bandwidth Provisioning Comparison by Content Vertical: 2008 | 51 | ||
2008 Full Year | 53 | ||
Online Music and Track Plays: Bandwidth Services Analysis and Market Size | 53 | ||
Online Video: Entertainment Bandwidth Services Analysis and Market Size | 54 | ||
User Generated Video Pricing and Market Analysis: 95th Percentile Estimates | 55 | ||
Video Advertising: Pre Roll Avail Bandwidth Services Analysis and Market Size | 56 | ||
In-Banner Video Advertising: Bandwidth Services Analysis and Market Size | 57 | ||
Download Bandwidth Services Analysis and Market Size | 58 | ||
Podcasting Bandwidth Services Analysis and Market Size | 59 | ||
Backhaul Bandwidth Services Segment Analysis: 2008 | 60 | ||
Streaming Video: Backhaul Bandwidth Services Market Value (95th Percentile Analysis) | 61 | ||
User Generated Video Backhaul Pricing and Market Analysis (95th Percentile Analysis) | 62 | ||
Streaming Video Advertising: Pre Roll Backhaul Bandwidth Services Market Size (95th Percentile Analysis) | 63 | ||
In-Banner Video Advertising: Backhaul Bandwidth Services Market Size (95th Percentile Analysis) | 64 | ||
Download Backhaul Bandwidth Services Market Size (95th Percentile Analysis) | 65 | ||
Podcasting Backhaul Bandwidth Services Market Size (95th Percentile Analysis) | 66 | ||
SECTION THREE | 67 | ||
CDN Revenue, Account Share and Operational Analytics | 67 | ||
The Top Four CDNs Account for 89% of Total Retail Contract Revenue in 2009 | 67 | ||
CDN Revenue 2009 (Est.) | 68 | ||
Akamai Controls 28.8% of Total Accounts in 2009; Limelight Networks Owns 13.3% | 69 | ||
CDN Account Share: 2009 (Est.) | 70 | ||
CDN Segment: Summary Revenue, Account, Performance Metrics and Infrastructure Profile and Analysis 2003 - 2012 | 72 | ||
CDN Monthly Recurring Revenue Analysis: 2005 - 2009 | 77 | ||
CDN Media Server Deployment: 2005 - 2009 | 78 | ||
SECTION FOUR | 80 | ||
Pro Video Delivery Share: 2009 | 80 | ||
22.5 Billion Professional Videos Views Analyzed in First Half 2009: Akamai Delivers 31.9% | 80 | ||
Video Delivery Share by CDN: 2009 Pro Content | 81 | ||
Video Views Delivery by CDN: January - June 2009 | 84 | ||
SECTION FIVE | 122 | ||
UGV Maturing Into a Highly Concentrated, Predominately Self-Hosting Segment | 122 | ||
UGC Video Delivery by CDN: 2009 YTD | 122 | ||
UGC Video Views by Delivery: 2009 January - June | 124 | ||
SECTION SIX | 128 | ||
TSL Forecast at 7.9 Billion Hours in 2009; 30% Delivered by CDN | 128 | ||
CDN Internet Radio Contract Share: 2009 | 129 | ||
SECTION SEVEN | 138 | ||
Q&A | 138 | ||
Abacast | 138 | ||
Akamai | 143 | ||
Bitgravity | 148 | ||
CD Networks | 152 | ||
Cotendo | 156 | ||
Edgecast Networks | 161 | ||
Highwinds | 166 | ||
Level 3 Communications | 172 | ||
Limelight Networks | 179 | ||
Liquid Compass | 185 | ||
Mirror Image | 191 | ||
Nokeena | 197 |
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